Torino can finally end their scoring drought against Milan, but that may not prove enough to avoid defeat on Sunday evening. Even with a number of injuries still diminishing his options, Stefano Pioli has slowly built a Milan squad that features enough quality on the bench to make the difference when required.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Torino had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
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