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TL
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
NL

Torino
0 - 2
Napoli


Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.05%. A win for Torino had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
23.16%21.78%55.05%
Both teams to score 60.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66%38.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38%60.62%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22%29.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14%65.85%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.08%13.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.64%41.35%
Score Analysis
    Torino 23.16%
    Napoli 55.05%
    Draw 21.78%
TorinoDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 6%
1-0 @ 5.02%
2-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 23.16%
1-1 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 4.14%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-1 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 8.06%
1-3 @ 6.42%
0-3 @ 5.3%
2-3 @ 3.89%
1-4 @ 3.17%
0-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 1.92%
1-5 @ 1.25%
0-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.05%

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