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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
NL

Sampdoria
0 - 2
Napoli

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fabian (35'), Osimhen (87')
Manolas (24'), Koulibaly (46'), Lozano (78')
Coverage of the Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Napoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawNapoli
25.02%23.01%51.97%
Both teams to score 58.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92%42.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51%64.49%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69%30.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51%66.49%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74%16.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.21%45.78%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 25.02%
    Napoli 51.97%
    Draw 23%
SampdoriaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.88%
2-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 25.02%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-1 @ 8.95%
0-2 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 5.88%
0-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.51%
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.24%
2-4 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.97%

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