Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.