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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
IL

Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Handanovic (36' og.)
Koulibaly (38'), Demme (80'), Politano (87'), Mertens (88'), Manolas (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eriksen (55')
Darmian (63'), Hakimi (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawInter Milan
36.85%25.22%37.92%
Both teams to score 56.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31%46.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04%68.95%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18%24.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59%59.4%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76%24.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41%58.59%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 36.85%
    Inter Milan 37.92%
    Draw 25.22%
NapoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.95%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.92%

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