SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Salernitana |
68.46% ( 0.16) | 19.15% ( -0.07) | 12.39% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.08) | 45.09% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.08) | 67.44% ( -0.08) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.89% ( 0.07) | 12.11% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.33% ( 0.15) | 37.67% ( -0.15) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.1) | 46.43% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.94% ( -0.07) | 82.05% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 68.45% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.39% |
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