Udinese are more likely to get a ninth home draw than to secure only their second win at the Friuli, meaning Salernitana could extend their unbeaten run in this fixture to four.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.16) 
-0.07) 
