Not only on last week's evidence, but also their improvement since Paulo Sousa took charge, Salernitana start favourites to pick up a first league win of the season. Udinese's woes in the final third have not been resolved, so Andrea Sottil's side will make the long trip back home empty-handed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.43) 
