Salernitana need to win to be sure of a spot in next season's Serie A, and we are backing the home side to triumph here. Udinese do not have too much to play for on the final weekend, and Nicola's team have been in impressive form in recent weeks.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
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