While Udinese can end their goal drought against a Salernitana side that struggles to keep clean sheets, the hosts have plenty of attacking threat and have rarely been beaten of late - they are going from strength to strength under Paulo Sousa.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.12) 
