Verona have scored the highest proportion of their Serie A goals in the first half this term (76%), while Udinese have conceded at the highest rate before the break (62%). Should those trends continue, an improving away side could take the lead on Monday, but their hosts should strike back to secure at least a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.01) 
-0.15) 
