While no side has scored more Serie A goals than Inter before half time this season (19), Verona have conceded the most during the second half (20). Such a combination suggests a fast start for the hosts - if being taken to extra time in midweek does not hinder them too much - and surrender by the Scaligeri after the break.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 3-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
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