SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
38.97% ( 0) | 27.85% ( 0) | 33.17% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.08% ( -0.01) | 57.92% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% ( -0) | 78.62% ( 0) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( -0) | 28.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0) | 64.77% ( -0) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.01) | 32.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.01) | 69.08% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.69% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.16% |
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