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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
LL

Hellas Verona
2 - 0
Lecce

Depaoli (40'), Lazovic (54')
Tameze (17'), Dawidowicz (23'), Ceccherini (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, January 14 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Lecce

Nine of Verona's 10 home goals in Serie A this season have come in the first half of fixtures, and they may need such a good start against in-form opposition. Since Marco Zaffaroni's arrival, though, the Hellas ship has been steadied a little, and a second win from three can help claw them closer to safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce
38.97% (0.0019999999999953 0) 27.85% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.62% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)28.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.08% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 38.97%
    Lecce 33.16%
    Draw 27.84%
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Cremonese
Monday, January 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Spezia
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Juventus
Thursday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, January 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, November 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Lecce
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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