SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Udinese |
67.93% ( -0.27) | 18.8% ( 0.1) | 13.27% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( -0.06) | 41.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( -0.06) | 63.81% ( 0.06) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( -0.09) | 11.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.29% ( -0.19) | 35.71% ( 0.2) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.3% ( 0.23) | 42.7% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.96% ( 0.2) | 79.04% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Udinese |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 67.92% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 18.8% | 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.27% |
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