These sides appear to be evenly matched despite the visitors having 14 more points in the standings, and we expect another close contest between the two teams on Tuesday.
Udinese have a little more quality in the attacking third compared to Spezia, although the home side have been much more potent at Stadio Alberto Picco.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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