Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 48.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Como had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.