Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Ascoli | Draw | Alessandria |
44.99% | 27.04% | 27.97% |
Both teams to score 48.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.35% | 56.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.39% | 77.61% |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% | 25.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.23% | 59.77% |
Alessandria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.28% | 35.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.5% | 72.5% |
Score Analysis |
Ascoli | Draw | Alessandria |
1-0 @ 12.39% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.97% |
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