Alessandria
1 - 2
Perugia

Mantovani (20')
Casarini (15'), Milanese (48')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Olivieri (34'), Falzerano (65')
Zanandrea (15'), Burrai (37'), Olivieri (52'), Rosi (83'), Santoro (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Alessandria and Perugia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.

Result
Alessandria	Draw	Perugia
30.89%	28.78%	40.33%

Both teams to score 44.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.36%

61.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.53%

81.47%

Alessandria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84%

36.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06%

72.93%

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07%

29.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96%

66.03%

Score Analysis

Alessandria 30.88%

Perugia 40.33%

Draw 28.78%

Alessandria	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.78%	0-1 @ 13.05% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.33%