Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Ascoli
45.37% ( -0)	27.92% ( 0)	26.71%

Both teams to score 44.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.65% (

-0)

60.34% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.5%

80.49%

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42%

26.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21% (

-0)

61.79%

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.2%

38.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.47%

75.52%

Score Analysis

Bari 45.37%

Ascoli 26.71%

Draw 27.9%

Bari	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 13.66% 2-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.37%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.71%