SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Parma |
39.48% ( 0.15) | 26.73% ( -0) | 33.79% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( -0.02) | 53.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( -0.02) | 75.03% ( 0.02) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.07) | 26.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( 0.1) | 61.73% ( -0.1) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( -0.11) | 29.91% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.98% ( -0.13) | 66.01% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ascoli | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.79% |
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