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Serie B | Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
2 - 0
Cosenza

Iemmello (12'), Biasci (52')
Sounas (20'), Biasci (23'), Katseris (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Praszelik (18'), Marras (26'), Venturi (64'), Zuccon (90+1')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Cosenza Calcio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Catanzaro
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 2-0 Reggiana
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawCosenza Calcio
58.73% (-0.356 -0.36) 22.97% (0.183 0.18) 18.3% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 48.97% (-0.23800000000001 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.07% (-0.481 -0.48)49.93% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (-0.43 -0.43)71.92% (0.429 0.43)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)16.69% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43% (-0.526 -0.53)46.57% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Cosenza Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)41.21% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)77.75% (0.068999999999988 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 58.72%
    Cosenza Calcio 18.3%
    Draw 22.96%
CatanzaroDrawCosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Catanzaro
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-2 Modena
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 1-0 Catanzaro
Saturday, October 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 3-0 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, October 21 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Catanzaro
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Catanzaro
Sunday, October 1 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 2-0 Reggiana
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 1-1 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Cosenza
Saturday, October 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-0 Cosenza
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 3-0 Lecco
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 1-2 Cosenza
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in Serie B


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