Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Venezia in this match.
0.13) 
-0.05) 
