Ascoli
0 - 1
Perugia

Iliev (16'), Falasco (41'), Caligara (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lisi (26')
Angella (14'), Matos (41'), De Luca (60'), Olivieri (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Perugia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Perugia in this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Perugia
34.71%	28.44%	36.85%

Both teams to score 46.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.12%

59.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.85%

80.15%

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48%

32.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.94%

69.06%

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85%

31.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52%

67.48%

Score Analysis

Ascoli 34.7%

Perugia 36.85%

Draw 28.44%

Ascoli	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.7%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.44%	0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.85%