Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.