Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
