Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Pisa
37.44% ( -0.13)	29.17% ( 0.05)	33.39% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.26% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.49% (

-0.17)

62.5% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.89% (

-0.12)

82.11% (

0.12)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.88% (

-0.17)

32.11% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.4% (

-0.19)

68.59% (

0.19)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.19% (

-0.03)

34.8% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46% (

-0.03)

71.54% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 37.44%

Pisa 33.38%

Draw 29.16%

Ascoli	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.16%	0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 33.38%