Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Ascoli
46.63% ( 0.09)	25.96% ( -0.01)	27.42% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 50.97% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.18% (

0.01)

52.83% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

0.01)

74.45% (

-0)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

0.04)

22.64% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73% (

0.06)

56.27% (

-0.06)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

-0.05)

34.11% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-0.06)

70.8% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Pisa 46.62%

Ascoli 27.42%

Draw 25.95%

Pisa	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.62%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.42%