Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Cittadella
33.72% ( 0.12)	29% ( 0.01)	37.28% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 44.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.1% (

-0.01)

61.9% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.34% (

-0.01)

81.66% (

0.01)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

0.07)

34.25% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

0.08)

70.95% (

-0.08)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

-0.08)

31.9% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

-0.09)

68.35% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Bari 33.71%

Cittadella 37.28%

Draw 28.99%

Bari	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.71%	1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.99%	0-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.28%