Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bari | Draw | Genoa |
42.75% (![]() | 27.04% (![]() | 30.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% (![]() | 55.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.19% (![]() | 76.81% (![]() |
Bari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% (![]() | 25.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% (![]() | 60.71% (![]() |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.52% (![]() | 33.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.89% (![]() | 70.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bari | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.69% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.75% | 1-1 @ 12.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.63% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.44% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.21% |
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