Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ascoli | Draw | Genoa |
32.79% (![]() | 27.86% (![]() | 39.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.98% (![]() | 58.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.29% (![]() | 78.7% (![]() |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% (![]() | 32.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% (![]() | 69.43% (![]() |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% (![]() | 28.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% (![]() | 64.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ascoli | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 10.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 13.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 11.77% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.34% |
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