Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Genoa
32.79% ( 0.04)	27.86% ( -0.42)	39.35% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 47.85% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.98% (

1.5)

58.02% (

-1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.29% (

1.17)

78.7% (

-1.17)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

0.81)

32.86% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

0.89)

69.43% (

-0.89)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

0.95)

28.73% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43% (

1.17)

64.57% (

-1.17)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 32.79%

Genoa 39.34%

Draw 27.85%

Ascoli	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.79%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.34%