Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
-0.27) 
0.2) 
