Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
