Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%).