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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
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Atalanta
2 - 0
Benevento

Muriel (22'), Pasalic (67')
de Roon (51'), Ilicic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tuia (40'), Barba (56'), Ionita (60'), Caldirola (80')
Caldirola (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 74.74%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Benevento win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBenevento
74.74%15.27%9.99%
Both teams to score 52.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57%33.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.77%55.23%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.45%7.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.93%27.07%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.05%42.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76%79.25%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 74.73%
    Benevento 9.99%
    Draw 15.27%
Atalanta BCDrawBenevento
2-0 @ 10.82%
3-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 9.15%
1-0 @ 8.38%
3-1 @ 7.88%
4-0 @ 6.02%
4-1 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 3.33%
5-0 @ 3.11%
5-1 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 2.15%
6-0 @ 1.34%
6-1 @ 1.13%
5-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 74.73%
1-1 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 3.87%
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.27%
1-2 @ 2.99%
0-1 @ 2.74%
0-2 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 9.99%

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