Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
