Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.1) 
