Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
