Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cosenza Calcio in this match.
0.16) 
-0.27) 
