SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Genoa |
34.62% ( 0.49) | 28.2% ( -0.14) | 37.18% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 47.15% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.98% ( 0.53) | 59.03% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% ( 0.41) | 79.49% ( -0.41) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( 0.59) | 32.14% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.37% ( 0.67) | 68.63% ( -0.67) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( 0.05) | 30.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.26% ( 0.06) | 66.74% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.18% |
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