Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.