Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brescia in this match.
