Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.14) 
-0.15) 
