Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.05) 
