Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
-0.23) 
0.36) 
