Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.1) 
