Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Chievo Verona win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Chievo Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Chievo Verona would win this match.
