Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
