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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 22, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Via del Mare
BL

Lecce
3 - 1
Brescia

Lapadula (22', 32'), Saponara (70')
Paz (17'), Majer (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dessena (63')
Sabelli (21')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Brescia win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawBrescia
57.26%21.59%21.15%
Both teams to score 58.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.05%39.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.68%62.32%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23%13.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93%41.07%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53%32.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01%68.99%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 57.26%
    Brescia 21.15%
    Draw 21.59%
LecceDrawBrescia
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 6.53%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-2 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 3.24%
4-0 @ 2.88%
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.28%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 57.26%
1-1 @ 9.97%
2-2 @ 5.56%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.59%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-1 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 21.15%


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