Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Brescia win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.