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Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 29, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
BL

Lazio
2 - 0
Brescia

Correa (17'), Immobile (83')
Lazzari (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Papetti (51'), Tonali (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 13.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
LazioDrawBrescia
67.6%19.25%13.15%
Both teams to score 48.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26%43.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87%66.13%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05%11.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.66%37.34%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64%44.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58%80.42%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 67.59%
    Brescia 13.15%
    Draw 19.25%
LazioDrawBrescia
2-0 @ 11.96%
1-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 6.89%
4-0 @ 4.5%
4-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.8%
5-0 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 67.59%
1-1 @ 9.15%
0-0 @ 5.3%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 19.25%
0-1 @ 4.31%
1-2 @ 3.72%
0-2 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 13.15%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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