Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lazio in this match.