Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Palermo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result |
| Cittadella | Draw | Palermo |
42.4% ( -0.22) | 27.53% ( 0.09) | 30.07% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( -0.2) |
| 42.47% ( -0.28) | 57.53% ( 0.28) |
| 21.68% ( -0.22) | 78.32% ( 0.22) |
| 73.18% ( -0.25) | 26.81% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.89% ( -0.32) | 62.1% ( 0.32) |
| 65.43% ( -0.05) | 34.57% ( 0.05) |
