SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Palermo |
50.6% ( -0.04) | 26.39% ( -0.02) | 23.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% ( 0.1) | 57.55% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( 0.08) | 78.34% ( -0.08) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.03) | 22.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.42% ( 0.04) | 56.58% ( -0.05) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.4% ( 0.11) | 40.59% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.81% ( 0.1) | 77.19% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.59% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.28% Total : 23.01% |
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