SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Cittadella |
43.51% ( -0.8) | 27.51% ( 0.13) | 28.97% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.1% ( -0.2) | 57.89% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% ( -0.16) | 78.61% ( 0.16) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.5) | 26.4% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.44% ( -0.67) | 61.56% ( 0.67) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% ( 0.41) | 35.6% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.63% ( 0.42) | 72.36% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.97% |
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